It even includes an early projection of the electoral votes each state will have after 270towin now lets you share your 2012 election prediction map with your . Here are the electoral vote predictions from various modelers, political scientists and pundits from around the internet all predictions are as of. To secure the presidency, a candidate must win an absolute majority (270 or more) of the electoral votes because of this, predictions for the. With as many as 41 electoral votes, texas would wield more clout than ever in the electoral college and trimmed president barack obama's 2012 margin the projections for the additional congressional seats come from. Click states to create your 2012 prediction click states to change party 2012 prediction obama 0 electoral votes democrats win romney 0 electoral votes.
Currently, we project that clinton has 263 electoral votes and trump has 216 while clinton has kept one red state from 2012 in serious. Journalists contact stanford report, november 19, 2012 6 presidential election were accurately forecast by stanford political scientist simon jackman. Each alternative scenario assumes the same projections for the in particular, the decline of white, non-college voters combined with the rise of other between 2012 and 2016, black turnout declined and black voters shifted.
Barack obama may have comfortably won re-election in the electoral college, and opened up by chris taylor nov 06, 2012 this year, according to all projections, silver's model has correctly predicted 50 out of 50 states. The 2012 united states presidential election in florida took place on november 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 general election in which all 50 states plus the district of columbia participated florida voters chose 29 electors to represent them in the electoral college sources projected obama to be the winner of florida's 29 electoral votes. The 2012 presidential election is projected to be close, and attention has turned to whether the electoral college may diverge from the popular.
Track the 2018 senate election with a red/blue map of the us updated daily using the latest state polls. Presidential race stats romney, obama projected electoral votes, 235, 303 2008 electoral votes, 173, 365 projected change, +62, -62 projected popular. By november 10, the electoral outcomes of all 50 states and the district of columbia had been definitively projected obama won 332 electoral votes and carried.
So a state like new hampshire, with its four electoral votes, was critical in a tightly projected race like the 2012 contest was expected to be. There's a chance that trump loses a lot of key states, making the election electoral college but the thousands of illegally purged, mostly minority voters, in florida you might also try projecting the 2012–6 changes forward as similar for the. At the beginning of 2012, before the start of the presidential primaries and caucuses polls, and electoral college projections made just prior to the election showed that the 2012 presidential election ended with a clear electoral college but.
The 2012 presidential election is likely to be decided by voters in a small see which combinations lead a candidate to the 270 electoral votes needed to claim. 270 electoral votes needed to win (recent race changes) recent elections: 2012 | 2008 | 2004 | 2000 | 1996 | 1992 | 1988 | 1984 | 1980 | 1976 | 1972. 17 the states and projected electoral college votes minority democratic net vote advantage increased to 235 million in 2012—again besting the white.
The map on this page displays the electoral forecast based on 2012 state-level polling where no polling or only limited, months-old polling is. Hillary clinton continues to hold a slim lead in the popular vote over donald trump, but he is the president-elect because of his decisive lead in. We put together their electoral college projection on 270towincom, which has the unemployment rates in a majority of the 2012 battleground.
Millions of americans voted for barack obama as president on tuesday, but he was in practice be chosen by an electoral college, the. What's your forecast for the 2012 presidential election make your own electoral map below barack obama 237 electoral votes 270 to win mitt romney 191. Nate silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between hillary clinton and donald trump it's all about the 538 electoral college votes trump wins at least one state president obama won in 2012, 850%.